Journal of Computer Applications ›› 2021, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (9): 2754-2760.DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2020111728

Special Issue: 前沿与综合应用

• Frontier and comprehensive applications • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Co-evolutionary simulation regarding emergency logistics in major public health risk governance

GONG Ying1,2,3, HE Yanting4, CAO Cejun2,3   

  1. 1. Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China;
    2. Chongqing Engineering Research Center for Processing, Storage and Transportation of Characterized Agro-Products(Chongqing Technology and Business University), Chongqing 400067, China;
    3. School of Management Science and Engineering, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China;
    4. School of Business Administration, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China
  • Received:2020-11-06 Revised:2020-12-23 Online:2021-09-10 Published:2021-05-08
  • Supported by:
    This work is partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71904021), the Social Science Planning Project in Chongqing (2019QNGL27), the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing (cstc2020jcyj-msxmX0164), the Project of Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission (KJQN201900830), the Project of Opening Foundation of Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River (KFJJ2019004), the Key Project of Special Research of "Response to Major Public Health Emergency" of Chongqing Technology and Business University (ctbuyqzx01), the Research Project in Chongqing Technology and Business University (1951025), the Scientific Research Start-up Project for Introduction of Advanced Talents in Chongqing Technology and Business University (1955011).

面向重大公共卫生风险治理的应急物流协同演化仿真

龚英1,2,3, 何彦婷4, 曹策俊2,3   

  1. 1. 重庆工商大学 长江上游经济研究中心, 重庆 400067;
    2. 重庆市特色农产品加工储运工程技术研究中心(重庆工商大学), 重庆 400067;
    3. 重庆工商大学 管理科学与工程学院, 重庆 400067;
    4. 重庆工商大学 工商管理学院, 重庆 400067
  • 通讯作者: 曹策俊
  • 作者简介:龚英(1968-),女,重庆人,教授,硕士,主要研究方向:应急管理、物流与供应链管理;何彦婷(1995-),女,重庆人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向:物流与供应链管理;曹策俊(1990-),男,四川南充人,副教授,博士,主要研究方向:灾害运作管理、应急决策仿真、演化博弈论。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71904021);重庆市社会科学规划项目(2019QNGL27);重庆市自然科学基金资助项目(cstc2020jcyj-msxmX0164);重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJQN201900830);长江上游经济研究中心开放基金资助项目(KFJJ2019004);重庆工商大学“应对重大突发公共卫生事件”专题研究重点项目(ctbuyqzx01);重庆工商大学校内科研项目(1951025);重庆工商大学引进高层次人才科研启动项目(1955011)。

Abstract: To enhance the efficiency of emergency logistics during the process of major public health risk governance, an efficient emergency logistics collaboration mechanism was designed based on the analysis of the behavioral characteristics of government and logistics enterprise. An evolutionary game model between local government and logistics enterprise was established to investigate the evolutional laws and paths of local government's supervision and logistics enterprise's collaboration. Then, the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed model were verified based on the numerical simulation. The results indicate that the emergency logistics collaboration mechanism in major public health risk governance significantly depends on local government's supervision compared with the collaboration mechanism of commercial logistics and it makes the collaboration level of logistics enterprise fluctuate between 0.25 and 0.9 repeatedly. After the establishment of a dynamic reward and punishment mechanism for local government, the obtained collaboration level of logistics enterprise stabilizes at 0.46 when the number of games reaches 30. It can be seen that this dynamic reward and punishment mechanism improves the stability of emergency logistics collaboration mechanism significantly.

Key words: major public health risk governance, emergency logistics, collaboration mechanism, evolutionary game

摘要: 为提高重大公共卫生风险治理过程中的应急物流效率,在分析政府与物流企业行为特征的基础上,设计了面向重大公共卫生风险治理的高效应急物流协同机制。通过构建地方政府与物流企业的演化博弈模型,探究了地方政府监管和物流企业协同的演化规律与路径,然后利用数值仿真来验证所提模型的可行性和有效性。结果表明,与商业物流协同机制相比,面向重大公共卫生风险治理的应急物流协同机制更依赖于地方政府的监管力度,并且该机制使得物流企业的协同水平在0.25与0.9之间反复波动;而建立针对地方政府的动态奖惩机制后,在博弈次数达到30时,物流企业的协同水平为0.46,并一直维持稳定,可见这个动态奖惩机制显著提高了应急物流协同机制的稳定性。

关键词: 重大公共卫生风险治理, 应急物流, 协同机制, 演化博弈

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