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Short-term wind power prediction using hybrid model based on Bayesian optimization and feature fusion
Jincheng FU, Shiyou YANG
Journal of Computer Applications    2026, 46 (2): 652-658.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2025030317
Abstract64)   HTML1)    PDF (2425KB)(60)       Save

To enhance the accuracy of short-term wind power prediction, an xLSTM (extended Long Short-Term Memory)-Transformer model based on Bayesian optimization and feature fusion was proposed. In the proposed model, the temporal processing capability of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network was integrated with the dynamic feature fusion ability of Transformer’s self-attention mechanism. By employing Bayesian optimization method, the hyperparameters of the model were optimized efficiently in a few iterations, thereby reducing the computational resources significantly. The experimental results demonstrate that, on a dataset from a wind farm in Inner Mongolia, when compared with the single LSTM model, Transformer model, Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model, and the xLSTM-Transformer model without Bayesian optimization and feature fusion, the proposed model achieves an average increase of 1.2% to 11.3% in the coefficient of determination (R2) compared to the benchmark models when the LookBack are 4 and 8; it also shows an average reduction of 12.8% to 38.4% in the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and an average reduction of 8.6% to 35.8% in the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The results indicate that the proposed model exhibits higher prediction accuracy and stability under conditions of short historical input.

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