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摘要： 分析了恶意代码发展的现状和特点,根据恶意代码生命周期和变异特点给出了一个网络恶意代码族群增长模型,最后对模型进行了验证，通过模型预测结果和实际数据的比较,该模型能够比较准确地对恶意代码族群数量的发展进行刻画。
